Global Agenda Council on Geopolitical Risk 2012-2014
The world is increasingly interconnected yet borders still matter in a globalized world. Geopolitics has become increasingly important, not just because of shifting power dynamics, but also because issues of security have become intertwined with those of trade, migration, employment and other forms of international relations. Traditional superpowers can no longer be confident of their positions and strength on the international stage, and this dispersion of power has changed the dynamics of geopolitics: countries like China and Brazil command more negotiating power than before; some like Tunisia and Egypt have gained democracy albeit violently; and others like Syria and North Korea have rigidly stayed the same and even receded in terms of the freedom they provide to their citizens.
What the Council is doing about it
The Global Agenda Council on Geopolitical Risk aims to establish geopolitical risk as a primary category in the discourse on economic and political global governance, at a time when increasing uncertainty along geo-economic and geopolitical lines makes it imperative to study these issues in a multidimensional and multistakeholder manner.
The Council produced and published an e-book in 2012, entitled “What’s Next? Essays on Geopolitics That Matter”. Each chapter of this e-book is an insight into a different region of the world and the changes it is going through. As a collection rather than a comprehensive portrait of the geopolitical risks facing various regions, it provides an illustration of where the world might be headed. The topics covered include the Eurozone crisis, the role of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Russian Federation’s long-term future in global politics, the Arab Spring, the divergent paths of emerging markets, the geopolitics of Asia, innovation in US foreign policy and the future of Afghanistan. The Council also produced a white paper entitled “The Vulnerability of Elites”, which was released at the Annual Meeting 2013 in Davos and received substantial media coverage. It highlighted the adverse impact of the lack of leadership in times of geopolitical uncertainty.
“Traditional superpowers can no longer be confident of their positions and strength on the international stage.”
The Council aims to produce the What’s Next? book as a series every year, providing analysis on risks and geopolitical hotspots to look out for. It aims to launch this book at the Summit on the Global Agenda 2013 in Abu Dhabi in November, and hopes to include in its discussions the relevant Global Agenda Councils. The Council is also holding a roundtable discussion with the Global Agenda Council on the United States regarding the role of the US in geopolitics and the best way to use its influence in the global arena.
To get involved please contact
Council Manager: Shubhra Saxena Kabra, Knowledge Manager, Global Agenda Councils, Shubhra.Saxena@weforum.org
Forum Lead: Martin Nägele, Director, Deputy Head of the Network of Global Agenda Councils, Martin.Nagele@weforum.org
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