Scenarios for the South Caucasus and Central Asia: If geography is destiny, then Central Asia and the South Caucasus region’s destiny is wide open. Located between East and West, North and South, the region is at a critical juncture. Beyond Russia’s historical presence, China is steadily deepening its footprint in the area, while Europe is showing signs of renewed interest. The region’s nations are diverse. While some are energy-rich, others are endowed with valuable freshwater resources. While some struggle to provide basic necessities, others are growing at a rapid pace. The question is whether there is a case for their collaboration and, if so, in what form and towards what goal. With a view to the world of 2030, the Scenarios for the South Caucasus and Central Asia project will provide a framework for constructive and open discussions to explore the social, economic, political and institutional drivers underpinning the regional economy.
Scenarios for Mongolia: Covering a vast mineral-rich territory situated between two of the world’s largest markets, Mongolia could be one of the fastest growing economies for years to come. But the path to prosperity is not without pitfalls. Critical uncertainties from the resource curse to Chinese economic stability and global commodity market swings are just a few of the many challenges which could lie ahead. Through its Scenarios for Mongolia project, the World Economic Forum will engage a broad range of stakeholders from within Mongolia and the international community to explore possible scenarios for the future of Mongolia’s economy. The project will focus on the underlying social, economic, political and institutional drivers shaping Mongolia’s future economic prosperity, providing a process and tools for a strategic dialogue between businesses, the public sector and civil society.
Scenarios for Ukraine: Uniquely positioned between Russia and the EU, Ukraine has the prospect to benefit from opportunities in both markets. Will it be a dynamic bridge between East and West, or find itself torn between competing interests? From the reliability of energy supplies and exploration of the domestic energy resources, to the quality of institutions, the rule of law and economic and political relations with its neighbours, Ukraine’s future economic development is uncertain. In this context, the World Economic Forum has launched a scenario process to facilitate a discussion on the critical challenges and factors shaping the future of the country’s economy.
Political and Economic Implications of Resource Scarcity
This project explores possible political and economic implications of resource availability for business and government stakeholders over the coming two decades. It focuses on the role of interconnections between resources, and the frameworks and solutions that can be used to resolve resource dilemmas.
Contact the World Economic Forum Strategic Foresight team Strategic.Foresight@weforum.org