Ukraine is at the centre of an unprecedented crisis. However, its economic future is affected not just by current uncertainties, but by a range of medium- and long-term factors – from the reliability of energy supplies, to the future of its economic and political relations with its neighbours and trading partners.
Through its Strategic Foresight practice, the World Economic Forum provides a neutral platform and a unique process through which to engage the country’s public and private sector leadership with the international community. This strategic dialogue looks beyond the immediate crisis to possible future pathways for economic development of Ukraine.
The Scenarios for Ukraine project began at the World Economic Forum's Annual Meeting 2013 as a framework for constructive and open discussions among key stakeholders.
Through the Forum’s multistakeholder scenario planning methodology, the process aimed to:
- generate new insights and perspectives on how business and government in Ukraine might address the country’s most critical challenges for economic and social development;
- raise ongoing policy discussions about Ukraine’s future economic development to a higher level, using a creative and interactive scenario-building process that include a wide set of stakeholders. The process also include active media engagement to create awareness about the scenario process across Ukrainian society;
- develop a structured framework to identify collaborative policy options affecting the country’s future economic development.
The value of the project lay in the process. It involved a series of interviews, virtual and in-person workshops, high-level sessions at World Economic Forum events, and a final report summarizing discussions.
The project builds on a dedicated 12-month process with key milestones linked to the different steps of the scenario planning methodology. The milestones coincide with the Forum’s main regional and global events.
An informal advisory and expert board provided guidance on the scope and direction of the project. It was composed of external stakeholders of the Ukrainian economy (including those drawn from the public and private sectors, media, civil society and academia) and particularly involved members of the Forum’s Network of Global Agenda Councils, supported by key Forum personnel. The inputs of the group played an important part in shaping the report.
A broad range of other participants were involved throughout the process via interviews and workshops, some of which were held at the Forum’s regional events and at its Annual Meeting in Davos-Klosters.
The World Economic Forum brought together an expert team to run and support the scenario process, composed of experienced scenario planners and regional managers.
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2013, Davos-Klosters, 23-27 January
Scenario development workshops, London, 2 September 2013 and Dnipropetrovsk, 8 October 2013
World Economic Forum Strategic Dialogue on the Future of Ukraine, Kiev, 5-6 November 2013
World Economic Forum Summit on the Global Agenda, Abu Dhabi, 18-20 November 2013
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2014, Davos-Klosters, 22-26 January
For more information on the project and to get involved, please contact:
Kristel Van der Elst, Senior Director, Head of Strategic Foresight, E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Anastassia Aubakirova, Director, Head of Eurasia, E-mail: email@example.com
Stephan Mergenthaler, Associate Director, Deputy Head of Strategic Foresight, E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Andrew Chakhoyan, Senior Community Manager, Eurasia, E-mail: email@example.com