Four Futures for the New Economy: Geoeconomics and Technology in 2030 explores how the powerful interplay between geopolitical shifts and rapid technological change is reshaping the global economic landscape. Produced as part of the Scenarios for the Global Economy Dialogue Series, the white paper presents four distinct futures for 2030 that emerge from different trajectories of geopolitical stability and technology adoption. It offers a clear, structured lens to understand how forces such as artificial intelligence (AI) commercialization, supply chain reconfiguration, regulatory fragmentation and rising volatility may influence growth, labour markets, trade and business competitiveness.

Beyond scenario development, the paper consolidates views and insights from chief strategy officers and other experts around cross-cutting risks and opportunities, and “no-regret” strategies to help leaders bolster resilience, enhance foresight and prepare their organizations for a rapidly evolving global environment. By examining how geoeconomics and technology could interact to shape the decade ahead, this inaugural edition equips decision-makers with the tools to stress-test assumptions, anticipate disruption and shape more agile, inclusive and future-ready strategies.