Trade and Investment

Trade uncertainty has risen at an alarming rate. This is why

An image shows the German share price index DAX at the German stock exchange in Frankfurt April 16, 2009. REUTERS/Johannes Eisele (GERMANY BUSINESS) - BM2E54G18RZ01

Tariff threats, hikes, and retaliations have become a major source of economic uncertainty. Image: REUTERS/Johannes Eisele

Scott Baker
Associate Professor of Finance Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University
Nicholas Bloom
Professor of Economics , Stanford University
Steven Davis
William H. Abbott Distinguished Service Professor of International Business and Economics, University of Chicago Booth School of Business; Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution
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Monthly data normalised to 100 from 1985 to 2009. Image: Baker et al. (2016), as updated at www.policyuncertainty.com
Using data for 21 countries that account for 80% of global GDP at current prices. Normalised to 100 from 1997 to 2015. Image: Baker et al. (2016), Davis (2016) and PolicyUncertainty.com
Monthly data normalised to 100 from 1985 to 2009. Image: Baker et al. (2016), as updated at www.policyuncertainty.com
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Computed from automated readings of newspaper articles about Equity Market Volatility and (Equity Market Volatility + Trade Policy) in 11 major U.S. newspapers. Image: Baker et al. (2019a).
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Related topics:
Trade and InvestmentBanking and Capital MarketsEconomic Progress
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