• Probably not, experts say, because everyone has a fundamental right to be protected from the spread of the disease.
  • Tensions have increased recently as more vaccine mandates are implemented.
  • These measures are often a response to flatlining vaccination rates and might see an uptick now that full regulatory approval of Pfizer-BioNTech’s vaccine has been given in the US.

Even Napoleon couldn’t force everyone to get vaccinated.

The French strongman managed to bend most of Europe to his will, yet when it came to smallpox he could merely encourage his compatriots to get immunized against the deadly disease as a civic duty.

In some ways, not much has changed. Governments and private-sector employers around the world have pressed those fortunate enough to have access to COVID-19 vaccines to take them – sometimes with targeted mandates, but often only with civic-minded prompts similar to Napoleon’s.

The push for more mandates has intensified recently, however, as vaccination rates in many places plateau. Full regulatory approval of Pfizer-BioNTech’s vaccine in the US is expected to trigger a cascade of mandates in that country, the French government has sought to make vaccination virtually unavoidable this summer with rules and mandates, the UAE requires it for students returning to classrooms, and companies including Google have started compelling employees to get jabbed before coming to the office.

The measures help keep people safe. But they’ve also touched a nerve.

A nationwide protest against vaccine mandates and other rules in France drew nearly 240,000 people earlier this month, businesses have sued to overturn New York City’s vaccine mandate for public places like restaurants, and a debunked video purporting to show Australian police forcing vaccinations on people has circulated on social media.

Some argue COVID-19 vaccine mandates are human rights violations. Not really, say experts on actual human rights violations.

In fact, some point to the more fundamental right of everyone to be protected from COVID-19 – particularly as the Delta variant continues to proliferate primarily among the unvaccinated.

Image: World Economic Forum

In the mid-19th century, the British government made vaccination against smallpox compulsory. Local Anti-Vaccination Leagues were formed in response, brandishing the same hesitancy and uneven understanding of science that recur among anti-vaccination activists today. In many ways, not much is new.

Yet, some things do seem to have changed in recent decades.

When a successful polio vaccine candidate was announced in 1953, it made its developer a minor celebrity; parents quickly sought it out for their children without needing coercion. Seven years later, Time magazine’s “Man of the Year” was awarded to “US Scientists.”

But then science became intertwined with the Cold War and government secrecy. Laboratories were bombed, a superfluous and flawed swine flu vaccination effort left dozens of people with a rare neurological disorder, and Soviet disinformation about the origin of AIDS – an epidemic that claimed hundreds of thousands of lives last year – spread around the world. Seeds of doubt were sown everywhere.

So, mandating COVID-19 vaccines may certainly seem like an attractive option to help stem the spread of the disease, as long as everyone affected has equal access (and credible exemptions are possible).

But perhaps a more foundational effort is necessary to rebuild trust in science – potentially making mandates unnecessary.

For more context, here are links to further reading from the World Economic Forum's Strategic Intelligence platform:

  • Incentives to take COVID-19 vaccines in India, like subsidized property taxes and discounted restaurant meals, have shown promise, according to this piece. Still, less than 10% of the population is fully vaccinated due to hesitancy and shortages. (The Conversation)
  • “No one wants to feel ashamed or belittled because they’re not doing something.” Programs in rural America that traditionally helped farmers are now educating the public about COVID-19 vaccines, according to this piece, and much of the work involves listening. (Kaiser Health News)
  • The large crowds gathered to protest COVID-19 vaccine requirements suggest hesitancy may be more common in Europe than survey results indicate, according to this piece – which traces some of the region’s anti-vaccination history. (Institut Montaigne)
  • Vaccination rates among pregnant women have lagged, but this survey of more than 17,000 pregnant and lactating women who received COVID-19 vaccines showed they didn’t experience symptoms more severe than their non-pregnant counterparts. (Science Daily)
  • “Everybody I know is pissed off.” Vaccinated Americans are losing patience with their unvaccinated compatriots as the number of new daily infections in the country surge, according to this piece. (The Atlantic)
  • How vaccine mandates are helping companies: according to this analysis they’re a step firms can take to “internalize the externality” imposed by the non-vaccinated outside their walls, and control the spread of the virus. (Knowledge@Wharton)
  • People infected long ago with SARS have generated particularly powerful antibody responses when vaccinated against COVID-19, according to this study, raising hopes that vaccines can be developed to fully protect against new coronavirus variants. (Nature)

On the Strategic Intelligence platform, you can find feeds of expert analysis related to Vaccination, Human Rights, and hundreds of additional topics. You’ll need to register to view.

Image: World Economic Forum