Artificial Intelligence

This is when robots will start beating humans at every task

Toyota Motor Corp's Kirobo Mini robot is pictured during a photo opportunity after a news conference in Tokyo, Japan, September 27, 2016. Picture taken on September 27, 2016. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon      TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY      - RTSQH36

Within 50 years' time, robots could be capable outperforming humans. Image: REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon

Chris Weller
Ideas Reporter, Business Insider
Skye Gould
Senior Graphic Designer, Business Insider
Share:
Our Impact
What's the World Economic Forum doing to accelerate action on Artificial Intelligence?
The Big Picture
Explore and monitor how Artificial Intelligence is affecting economies, industries and global issues
A hand holding a looking glass by a lake
Crowdsource Innovation
Get involved with our crowdsourced digital platform to deliver impact at scale
Stay up to date:

Artificial Intelligence

Don't expect to see a human behind the wheel of an 18-wheeler by 2027. Or a set of human hands performing a delicate surgery by 2053.

According to a new study from Oxford and Yale University researchers, those are the years artificial intelligence is slated to take over each of those tasks. And so it will go for millions of other jobs over the next 50 years, researchers find.

Image: Business Insider

The study relied on survey responses of 352 AI researchers who gave their opinions on when in the future machines would replace humans for various tasks.

Lead investigator Katja Grace and her colleagues found the tasks most likely to get automated within the next 10 years were rote, mechanical tasks. Language translation could outpace human performance by 2024, responses indicated, and robots may be able to write better high-school-level essays than humans in 2026.

More complex and creative tasks, like writing books and performing high-level math, will take longer. Ultimately, the researchers found AI could automate all human tasks by the year 2051 and all human jobs by 2136.

"Advances in artificial intelligence ... will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, science, finance, and the military," the researchers wrote. "These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI."

Loading...
Don't miss any update on this topic

Create a free account and access your personalized content collection with our latest publications and analyses.

Sign up for free

License and Republishing

World Economic Forum articles may be republished in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Public License, and in accordance with our Terms of Use.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author alone and not the World Economic Forum.

Related topics:
Artificial IntelligenceFourth Industrial Revolution
Share:
World Economic Forum logo
Global Agenda

The Agenda Weekly

A weekly update of the most important issues driving the global agenda

Subscribe today

You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. For more details, review our privacy policy.

Microfactories: why smaller, highly automated factories are the future of manufacturing

Raimund Klein

March 4, 2024

About Us

Events

Media

Partners & Members

  • Join Us

Language Editions

Privacy Policy & Terms of Service

© 2024 World Economic Forum