Trucking

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The industry must advance electric and hydrogen trucks for long-term emissions cuts, while prioritizing biofuels, synfuels and efficiency improvements for near-term impact.

Performance summary

– The direct emissions227 were 1.89 Gt CO2e228 in 2023, a 6% reduction from 1.78 Gt CO2e229 in 2019.

– The industry has decreased emission intensity by 14%230 in the last five years, driven by improvements in fuel efficiency.

– Activity is at all-time high, at 32.8 trillion ton-km231 in 2023 as sector recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic, compared to 26.6 trillion ton-km in 2019.

– Low-emission fuel consumption contributed 4%232 to the total fuel share of the heavy-duty trucking sector.

– Energy intensity was reduced by 15% from 1.24 MJ/ton-km in 2019 to 1.05 MJ/ton-km in 2022.233

Future emissions trajectory

– The industry is forecast to reduce emissions intensity by 28% by 2030 and 94% by 2050, compared to 2023 levels, according to the IEA.234 The direct CO2e emissions are expected to be 1.4 Gt in 2030 and 0.22 Gt in 2050.235

– According to MPP, 7 million236 zero-emission trucks will be required by 2030 to align with net-zero emissions by 2050.

Readiness key takeaways

Sector priorities

Note: This page presents a condensed summary of the sector’s performance, for a complete view, including on the sector’s readiness for the energy transition, please view the sector PDF here.

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