Supply Chain and Transport

Why a focus on shareholders may be causing supply chain backups

FILE PHOTO: A shopper looks at produce and empty shelves of the meat aisle in Co-Op supermarket, Harpenden, Britain, September 22, 2021.  REUTERS/Peter Cziborra/File Photo

A shopper looks at mostly-empty shelves at a supermarket in Harpenden, Britain, September 22, 2021. Image: REUTERS/Peter Cziborra/File Photo

John Letzing
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Supply Chain and Transport

  • Supply chain backups have led to shortages and frustration.
  • Some say spending corporate cash on rewarding shareholders rather than investing in logistics and hiring may contribute to the problem.
  • Stock buybacks reward investors by increasing the value of their existing holdings. They have long been contentious.

The Dutch East India Company was probably the biggest corporation in history and frequently paid dividends to shareholders – sometimes in the form of cloves. That enduring largesse, even at the expense of investing in its sprawling trading business, is one reason cited for the company’s demise in the late 1700s.

Fast forward a bit more than a couple of centuries. The tendency of companies to put shareholders first with dividends and stock buybacks, rather than investing that money in additional storage or truck drivers to ease the flow of commerce, is now being blamed for contributing to supply chain misery.

Supply chain backups around the world have led to empty grocery store shelves in the US, blood test shortages in Britain and a looming lack of Christmas gifts in Australia. Experts say things are unlikely to get better anytime soon.

Prioritizing the needs of shareholders above those of customers, employees, or society as a whole runs counter to the increasingly-adopted tenets of stakeholder capitalism. It may also be hindering the global economy’s return to “normal," even as COVID-19 becomes endemic.

In the US, spending by companies on stock buybacks relative to earnings jumped to 50% by 1998 from 5% in 1980 – the eve of a Ronald Reagan-era regulatory change that opened the buyback floodgates.

The practice has accelerated this year; buybacks among companies in the S&P 500 Index neared $199 billion in the second quarter, a nearly 12% increase from the previous period.

Europe, too, has seen a surge recently. In Japan, which started permitting the practice in 1994, Sony announced its first-ever major buyback in 2019. Its shares immediately gained 5% in value.

This penchant for buybacks is one of many suspects now being fingered for lingering shortages, and longstanding calls to restrict or tax them have become louder.

Image: World Economic Forum

Buybacks long ago matched and even surpassed dividends as a primary means to reward shareholders. Companies simply buy up their own shares on the open market, reduce the supply and boost the value of what remains for investors. The practice has many admirers.

After all, shareholders, including those with stock underpinning their retirement accounts, have real skin in the game. Rewarding their confidence seems logical.

US investor Warren Buffett has long touted buybacks, and their use in combination with dividends can be interpreted as optimism about an economy’s prospects. One study found that they correlate with higher long-term returns, despite frequent criticism that they're an example of short-termism.

Even if companies did want to use funds otherwise earmarked for buybacks to invest in their businesses, they might find that difficult at the moment – due to the same supply chain issues affecting everyone else.

There’s also a general mistrust of corporate decision-making, dating back at least hundreds of years, that’s informed some of the logic behind buybacks. Better to spend surpluses on shareholders, the thinking goes, than see them squandered through bad behaviour and poor strategy.

Risk, too, is a factor – if a company genuinely believes money it invests in a new warehouse in an uncertain economy may be wasted, does it have an obligation to do it anyway?

Still, as long as ships unable to unload cargo continue to accumulate outside of ports, questions about how the companies responsible for getting goods from one place to another use their cash are probably inevitable.

Satellite image of over 70 ships waiting on 10 October 2021 to dock and unload at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach.
Satellite image of over 70 ships waiting on 10 October 2021 to dock and unload at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Image: NASA/JPL-Caltech

For more context, here are links to further reading from the World Economic Forum's Strategic Intelligence platform:

  • What’s the difference between a “good” and a “bad” stock buyback? According to this analysis, it has a lot to do with how much trust has been earned by individual CEOs. (INSEAD Knowledge)
  • Before the US semiconductor industry receives billions of dollars in subsidies as part of pending legislation, this piece argues that Congress should extract pledges to cease stock buybacks for a decade. (Institute for New Economic Thinking)
  • This professor of finance argues it’s not a zero-sum game between shareholder and stakeholder value. (VoxEU)
  • Pharma priorities – according to this piece, between 2009 and 2018 the top 18 pharmaceutical companies in the S&P 500 spent 1.14 times more on repurchasing their own shares than on R&D. (STAT)
  • The profits a company retains can help deliver a middle-class standard of living, according to this piece – which argues that to address inequality in the US, stock buybacks should be banned. (Business and Human Rights Resource Centre)
  • Elephants and mice – this piece ponders what can be done to ensure boards are truly engaging with the people directly or indirectly impacted by their business. (Institute for Human Rights and Business)
  • When an influential group of US-based CEOs scrapped the idea of shareholder primacy in favour of stakeholder capitalism in 2019, many said it was a long time coming. (Project Syndicate)

On the Strategic Intelligence platform, you can find feeds of expert analysis related to Supply Chains, Corporate Governance and hundreds of additional topics. You’ll need to register to view.

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