Future of the Environment

This disease kills 400,000 people a year. A new map shows where climate change will make it worse

George Oliech, a researcher from the International Centre of Insect Physiology and Ecology (ICIPE), checks the quality of the swamp water in Kamgan village of Nyakach, Kenya May 12, 2020. Picture taken May 12, 2020. REUTERS/Edwin Waita - RC22RG94I59Y

Surface water is crucial for the mosquitoes to lay their eggs. Image: REUTERS/Edwin Waita

Chris J Thomas
Global Professor in Water & Planetary Health, University of Lincoln
Mark Smith
Associate Professor in Water Research, University of Leeds
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Climatic-suitability for malaria in Africa today. Note this does not match up with the actual presence of malaria, as the disease has been eradicated in some places.
Image: Nature Communications
How malaria suitability will change by 2100 under the most extreme global warming scenario (RCP 8.5). Red = more suitable, blue = less; bolder colours = more certainty.
Image: Nature Communications
The Orange River, South Africa’s longest, will become more suitable for malaria. Image: Richard van der Spuy
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Future of the EnvironmentClimate ChangeGlobal HealthHealth and Healthcare
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